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Tag:Adrian Beltre
Posted on: June 16, 2008 9:19 pm
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

Everyone loves to be an armchair GM. and this blog is for any ideas for possible trade deadline deals. Immediately I thought of three. If anyone has any of their own, feel free to share.

***Note: These trades are ideas of my own and have no truth to them happening


Trade Idea #1

St. Louis Cardinals Get:

San Francisco Giants Get:
Why This Trade Works For Both Teams:

As evidence by his demotion at the end of May, the Cardinals are currently down on Chris Duncan and it seems logical that they would try to shop him for a need rather than decrease his value at AAA. Duncan is naturally built to play first base and has quite a bit of pop in his bat. However, because the Cardinals already have Albert Pujols at first, Duncan has been forced to play out of position. His lack of range in the outfield has hurt the Cardinals at times and his only real value to the team comes with his bat--something the Cardinals haven't been impressed with this season.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals main need at this point in the season is a second basemen and relief pitching. A trade with San Francisco, for Ray Durham and Jack Taschner would answer both of those problems. Since signing with the Cardinals two seasons ago, Adam Kennedy has been terrible with his bat and while his defense remains average, he offers nothing to the team. Ray Durham, on the other hand, is having a great season with San Francisco hitting nearly .300 and is in the final year of his two year extension he received back in 2006. Since Durham is a free agent at the end of the season, the Giants would also have to throw in a bullpen reliever (like Taschner) to make this deal fair. The Cardinals need a strong reliever that can help them out as their bullpen is ranked 14th in the National League right now. Of course, if this deal were to happen, it would have to wait until Albert Pujols came off the DL (as Duncan has currently been called up to replace him). Still, I think it makes sense for both teams involved.


Trade Idea # 2

Cleveland Indians Get:
Pittsburgh Pirates Get:

Why This Deal Work For Both Teams:

As bad as the Indians have been playing, they are only five and a half games back in the American League Central. While the Indians pitching staff has been one of the best in the league, the teams offense is ranked 10th (out of 14) in the American League. With both of the teams superstars--Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez--struggling to hit the ball, the Indians could use a big bat in the middle of their lineup. And who better than Jason Bay? Bay is having an excellent season so far batting .283 and leading the Pirates in home runs with 14 and walks with 45. Bay is a franchise player on many teams in the league, but with the Pirates looking to rebuild, he becomes expendable. In addition, the Pirates new GM, Neal Huntington, used to serve as Mark Shapiro's assistant GM in Cleveland and has great relations with the ballclub.

In ANY deal that the Indians made, I figured they'd have to center a package around top prospect Adam Miller. As for the other prospects remaining in this trade, I figured that even though Beau Mills is more talented than Wes Hodges, the Indians would prefer to keep Hodges as he is the most major league ready player and can take over at 3rd base when Casey Blake leaves in the offseason. Hodges hits for a much higher average than Mills, but Mills has solid power and is ranked 3rd (just ahead of Hodges) on Baseball America's top 10 prospects for the Indians. As for Josh Rodriguez, he wasn't on the top 10, but he seems like a perfect fit for the Pirates, who have zero middle infield prospects (because they traded Lillibridge to Atlanta in the LaRoche deal), but he hit 20 homers, had 80+ RBI, and stole over 20 bases in A+ ball last season. With Jhonny Peralta locked up through 2011, the Indians can afford to let Rodriguez go in any deal.


Trade Idea #3

Minnesota Twins Get:
Seattle Mariners Get:
  • LHP Tyler Robertson
  • OF Chris Parmelee

Why This Trade Works For Both Teams:

If the Twins want to make a push for the postseason, they are going to need to get more power into their lineup. With 43 home runs so far this season, the Twins are in last place in the American League in homers. Both Mike Lamb and Adam Everett are struggling to hit the ball this season, so the left side of the infield seems to be the logical place to improve at. Meanwhile, with the Mariners hosting baseballs worst record at 24-45, now would be the most opportune time for them to rebuild. Richie Sexson, Raul Ibanez, and Jose Vidro are all coming off the books after this season, while Miguel Batista, Erik Bedard, Jarrod Washburn, and Adrian Beltre will enter free agency the following season. The Mariners would benefit by trading some of these players away before their contracts expire. In this case, it's Adrian Beltre.

Beltre is just batting .229 this season, but I wouldn't be surprised if that climbed up to .270 by the end of the season. He already has 14 homers on the season and would be an instant upgrade on both offense and defense for the Twins. Also, the fact that he's a right handed hitter helps as well. The Twins, who are 15 million dollars under what they paid a year ago would be able to take on Beltre's contract without problem. The team already has their key players, Joe Nathan, Justin Morneau, and Joe Mauer locked up long term and the team doesn't need to add much pitching as they have plenty of depth in the minors. In return for Beltre, I had the Mariners getting LHP Tyler Robertson from the Twins. Robertson seems to be an forgotten prospect since the Twins traded with the Mets, but the kid has great stuff. So far this year at A+ ball, Robertson is 4-2 with a 2.76 era and 58 strikeouts in 65 innings while last season at low-A ball, he was 9-5 with a 2.29 era with 129 strikeouts in 102 IP. Also, I have OF Chris Parmelee heading back as well. Parmelee has great power for the Twins, he just lacks average and with Delmon Young and Carlos Gomez already locked in the outfield for years to come, he is expendable. Parmelee isn't viewed as a top prospect, but he could be an average regular once he hits the pros.
Posted on: March 20, 2008 3:56 am
Edited on: March 20, 2008 3:59 am
 

2008 Seattle Mariners Season Preview

Seattle Mariners


2007 Record:
88-74, 2nd Place in the AL West
Abedi's 2008 Projection: 86-76, 2nd Place in the AL West



Key Additions:
  • LHP Erik Bedard (traded from Baltimore)
  • RHP Carlos Silva (signed, 4 yrs/48 million)
  • RF Brad Wilkerson (signed 1 yr/3 million)
Key Departures:
Projected Lineup:
  1. CF Ichiro Suzuki
  2. DH Jose Vidro
  3. LF Raul Ibanez
  4. 3B Adrian Beltre
  5. 1B Richie Sexson
  6. RF Brad Wilkerson
  7. C Kenji Johjima
  8. 2B Jose Lopez
  9. SS Yuniesky Betancourt
After losing Jose Guillen to free agency and trading away top prospect Adam Jones to the Baltimore Orioles, the Mariners are going to need someone in their lineup to step up. The most obvious player to look to is first basemen Richie Sexson. Last season, Sexson was one of the Mariners worst hitters. Despite hitting 21 home runs for the team, Sexson only managed to bat .205/.295/.399 in just over 430 at bats. 2007 was Sexson's worst career year as a pro which suggests that he will either return to form or continue to decline. I'm sticking with the former. Meanwhile, the bottom half of the Mariners lineup is not going to produce for them. Lopez is a good defensive 2nd basemen, but offers nothing offensively. Both Wilkerson and Betancourt are liabilities on both offense and defense and it remains to be seen how long the team will stick with them. Despite having a gold glover in center, the outfield combination of Ibanez-Ichiro-Wilkerson gives the Mariners one of the worst outfield defenses in the American League. It may not be too long before we see Wladimir Balentien get the call-up to play right. Even though Balentien isn't any better than Wilkerson defensively, at least he provides something with the stick.
The Bench
The Mariners bench isn't that strong, but with Bloomquist and Morse both capable of playing all infield and outfield positions, it does give them a bit of versatility. If the team needs to, they could always call up Waldimir Balentien or Jeff Clement, but I'm kind of surprised the team hasn't added anyone that can help with the outfield defense. A player like Kenny Lofton would be the perfect fit in Seattle as he could be used as a late inning defensive replacement and could be a veteran bat off the bench. In addition his price tag would be very low.


The Starting Rotation
  1. LHP Erik Bedard
  2. RHP Felix Hernandez
  3. RHP Carlos Silva
  4. LHP Jarrod Washburn
  5. RHP Miguel Batista
The Mariners gave up quite abit to have Erik Bedard be their opening day starter in 2008, but the move gives them a formidable 1-2 punch at the top of their rotation with Bedard and Felix Hernandez. The team also spent 48 million to bring in Carlos Silva. While the Bedard deal is justifiable, the Silva deal never made too much sense. The team had other options that they could have turned to for the 5th starter role (Brandon Morrow, Cha Baek) and it seems as if the 15 million a season that the team spent on both Silva and Wilkerson could have been better spent by improving the bullpen or bringing in a right fielder. However, there is no doubt that Silva is an upgrade from Jeff Weaver and Horacio Ramirez, so it wasn't too bad of a deal.

The Bullpen
Outside of J.J. Putz, the Mariners bullpen is full of questions. The loss of George Sherrill is going to hurt them. Both Morrow and Lowe could prove to be reliable as they have the better upside, but it still remains to be seen. O'Flaherty is likely to be the M's only lefty, yet the team could still choose to go with Arthur Rhodes over Chris Reitsma. It completely baffles me that manager John McLaren has chosen to go with the 33 year old Rule-5 pick, R.A. Dickey, at long relief instead of Cha Baek. The move likely means that Baek will be released by the team and become a free agent. It is especially surprising considering that Baek has a 0.82 era in 11 innings of work this spring.

Abedi's Take:

While the Mariners made headline this offseason acquiring Erik Bedard, I don't necessarily think it will add wins for 2008 and there are several reasons why. For one, as stated above, the Mariners offense has gotten worse. Jose Guillen was the Mariners 2nd best offensive performer a year ago and the team did not adequately replace him. In addition, most of the Mariners wins last season came from the team being 14-5 against the Oakland A's. Despite Oakland's decision to rebuild this season, a winning percentage of 74% against a team in the same division is unlikely to continue from year to year. Aside from that, the bullpen's decline might be the biggest impact on the team as will decide plenty of games. Quite frankly, I see the Mariners finishing 86-76, which will be 7 games back of the division leading Los Angeles Angels.
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com